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Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?

Closes January 1, 2027 at 7:59 AM UTC

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Manifold volume 17,331

W

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?

Yes

Amount

$

By trading, you agree to the Terms of Use.

Order Book

Mirrors an open Manifold market. Resolves the same way as the source: https://manifold.markets/cash/will-china-militarily-seize-any-of-6dad798706d5

The market resolves to Yes when the underlying outcome occurs.

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W

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?

Yes

Amount

$

By trading, you agree to the Terms of Use.

Buy YES · 6¢Buy NO · 94¢